Worcester City vs Stafford Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 1
WAL
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
RUG
0 - 2
WOR
36%
26%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HEA
1 - 0
WOR
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
4 - 1
SOA
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 1
WHI
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
RFC
0 - 1
ASH
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
RUS
0 - 2
RFC
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 1
HED
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 2
GAI
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 1
WHI
16%
21%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |