National League North round 21

Worcester City vs Gloucester City analysis

Worcester City Gloucester City
44 ELO 41
-12.4% Tilt -8.5%
17830º General ELO ranking 6362º
429º Country ELO ranking 234º
ELO win probability
49.8%
Worcester City
24.8%
Draw
25.5%
Gloucester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
Worcester City
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.5%
Win probability
Gloucester City
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Worcester City
Gloucester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Worcester City
Worcester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2013
SOL
Solihull Moors
1 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
65%
21%
14%
44 54 10 0
21 Dec. 2013
WOR
Worcester City
1 - 0
Harrogate Town
TOW
28%
26%
46%
42 50 8 +2
14 Dec. 2013
ALD
Aldershot Town
4 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
64%
21%
15%
43 52 9 -1
08 Dec. 2013
WOR
Worcester City
0 - 2
Oxford City
OXF
42%
26%
33%
45 45 0 -2
03 Dec. 2013
AFC
AFC Telford United
0 - 3
Worcester City
WOR
56%
24%
20%
43 48 5 +2

Matches

Gloucester City
Gloucester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2013
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 0
Gloucester City
GLO
51%
24%
25%
41 45 4 0
21 Dec. 2013
GLO
Gloucester City
0 - 1
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
32%
25%
43%
42 48 6 -1
14 Dec. 2013
TOW
Harrogate Town
4 - 2
Gloucester City
GLO
61%
21%
18%
43 50 7 -1
10 Dec. 2013
GLO
Gloucester City
2 - 0
Altrincham
ALT
21%
22%
58%
41 53 12 +2
07 Dec. 2013
GLO
Gloucester City
5 - 1
Hednesford Town
HED
18%
22%
59%
39 54 15 +2