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Bundesliga. Matchday 29

Wolfsburg Bayern München
81 ELO 96
-4% Tilt 23%
61º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19%
Wolfsburg
21.2%
Draw
59.7%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
Wolfsburg
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.7%
Win probability
Bayern München
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wolfsburg
+27%
+30%
Bayern München

Basic stats

47
53
POS
7
14
SOT
6
5
COR
2
3
GF
3
2
GC
9
21
FRK
81
96
ELO
1
2
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Wolfsburg
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
15º
71
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
81
100%
RB Leipzig
61
68
46%
Wolfsburg
57
64
33%
Eintracht Frankfurt
56
64
28%
B. Dortmund
52
59
86%
B. Leverkusen
47
53
64%
B. Mönchengladbach
43
49
25%
Union Berlin
43
47
26%
SC Freiburg
40
45
10º
24%
Stuttgart
10º
39
45
20%
Hoffenheim
11º
35
42
11º
53%
FC Augsburg
12º
33
37
12º
38%
Mainz 05
13º
31
35
15º
11%
Werder Bremen
14º
30
35
14º
21%
Arminia Bielefeld
15º
30
32
16º
16%
Hertha BSC
16º
26
35
13º
15%
Köln
17º
26
31
17º
43%
Schalke 04
18º
13
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wolfsburg
Bayern München
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
89% 0%
Europa League
11% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
Wolfsburg
WOL
B. Leverkusen
LEV
Stuttgart
STU
Köln
KOL
Mainz 05
M05
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO WOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 - 3
Wolfsburg
WOL
49%
26%
25%
2569 2513 -56 -11
03 Apr. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Köln
KOL
63%
21%
16%
2564 1966 598 +6
20 Mar. 2021
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Wolfsburg
WOL
38%
28%
34%
2555 2073 -482 +9
13 Mar. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
5 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
58%
22%
20%
2542 2033 509 +13
06 Mar. 2021
HOF
Hoffenheim
2 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
42%
28%
31%
2555 2283 -272 -13

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2021
PSG
PSG
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
21%
3659 3711 52 +36
10 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
80%
13%
7%
3660 1771 1889 -11
07 Apr. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 3
PSG
PSG
50%
26%
24%
3691 3663 28 -25
03 Apr. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
35%
27%
38%
3678 2877 -801 +7
20 Mar. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
4 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
86%
10%
4%
3676 1925 1751 +2