WNC vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
13º
13º
51
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WNC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
0 - 5
GOE
21%
20%
59%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
WNC
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
1 - 1
ZWA
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
WNC
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
WNC
1 - 2
KLO
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
NIE
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 2
GOE
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
NIE
45%
22%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 2
JOD
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NIE
4 - 0
SMI
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |