Witton Albion vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Witton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WIT
3 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SHE
0 - 1
WIT
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 3
WIT
34%
21%
45%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
WIT
3 - 0
KID
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 3
WIT
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BIT
3 - 0
BUX
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MIC
0 - 3
BUX
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BUX
3 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
BUX
2 - 1
WOR
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
COA
2 - 1
BUX
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |