Witham Town vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
16º
16º
66
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
97 | 98 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
91 | 91 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
69 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
66 | 69 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
63 | 66 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
50 | 50 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
25 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
19 | 22 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Witham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WHI
2 - 2
CTF
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 1
AFD
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 3
LOW
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WHI
2 - 1
WAR
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 4
WHI
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HTG
2 - 0
HEY
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HEY
1 - 0
GOR
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POT
0 - 2
HEY
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NSA
2 - 2
HEY
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HEY
2 - 1
CHI
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |