Wisla Kraków vs GKS Pogon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
1º
1º
7
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 72 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 55 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 53 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 50 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 48 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 48 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 47 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
4% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 46 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 42 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 36 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 35 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
87.5% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
GKS
3 - 4
WIS
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
WIS
5 - 0
LKS
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
STA
0 - 4
WIS
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
WIS
2 - 0
RCH
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
SBR
0 - 1
WIS
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
GKS Pogon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
PGM
3 - 0
WIS
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
PGM
4 - 0
MIE
34%
26%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
PUS
1 - 1
PGM
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PGM
2 - 1
STA
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
USK
1 - 2
PGM
25%
22%
53%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |