UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-0
Wisla Kraków vs Skonto Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
WIS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
FLO
2 - 2
WIS
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
WIS
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
WIS
0 - 2
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ZAL
0 - 3
WIS
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
WIS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 1
FCS
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
FKD
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 1
FCS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |