Winterthur vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 2
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 0
KRI
34%
25%
40%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 3
WIN
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SER
5 - 2
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 5
WIN
42%
23%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SER
3 - 2
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
SER
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 2
SER
37%
26%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SER
5 - 2
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RAP
1 - 2
SER
18%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |