Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 5
FCV
22%
21%
57%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
WIN
6 - 0
YFJ
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 2
SCH
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
KRI
3 - 0
WIN
37%
25%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 1
GCZ
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FCL
2 - 4
KRI
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
STG
1 - 3
FCL
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
YOB
5 - 2
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCL
31%
26%
42%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |