Winterthur vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
74
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 7
WIN
6%
13%
82%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 4
LUG
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STG
2 - 0
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
AND
0 - 1
YOB
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 10
YOB
3%
10%
87%
|
84 | 6 | 78 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
YOB
0 - 1
AND
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 0
SER
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 0
KUO
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |