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Switzerland Fourth Division. Matchday 12

Winterthur II vs Linth 04 analysis

Winterthur II Linth 04
8 ELO 7
14% Tilt 67%
11087º General ELO ranking 11099º
79º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Winterthur II
23.2%
Draw
40.2%
Linth 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
Winterthur II
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.2%
Win probability
Linth 04
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Winterthur II
+28%
-6%
Linth 04

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tuggen
34
59
98%
FC Wettswil-Bonstetten
30
45
22%
Linth 04
22
35
10%
Hongg
22
43
9%
Winterthur II
21
38
9%
FC Paradiso
21
38
9%
Red Star Zürich
21
39
9%
Kosova
17
30
11º
9%
Eschen/Mauren
16
35
8%
FC Balzers
10º
15
28
12º
10%
Dietikon
11º
14
31
10º
8%
St. Gallen II
12º
14
31
9%
FC Gossau
13º
12
27
13º
13%
FC Thalwil
14º
8
22
14º
28%
Expected probabilities
Winterthur II
Linth 04
Champion
1% 1%
Promotion playoffs
10% 9%
Could qualify for next round
11% 10%
Mid-table
69% 71%
Relegation
9% 9%

ELO progression

Winterthur II
WIN
Linth 04
LIN
Sion
SIO
FC Gossau
FCG
St. Gallen
STG
Kosova
KOS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Winterthur II
Winterthur II
1%
X%
2%
ELO WIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
ESC
Eschen/Mauren
1 - 1
Winterthur II
WIN
49%
26%
25%
133 241 108 0
12 Oct. 2019
WIN
Winterthur II
3 - 0
FC Gossau
FCG
42%
28%
30%
131 189 -58 +1
28 Sep. 2019
WIN
Winterthur II
3 - 1
FC Thalwil
FCT
47%
27%
26%
130 79 51 +1
22 Sep. 2019
STG
St. Gallen II
0 - 0
Winterthur II
WIN
49%
26%
25%
131 243 112 0
14 Sep. 2019
WIN
Winterthur II
2 - 2
Dietikon
DIE
47%
27%
26%
130 79 51 +1

Matches

Linth 04
Linth 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
LIN
Linth 04
2 - 1
St. Gallen II
STG
41%
28%
31%
126 242 -116 +1
12 Oct. 2019
DIE
Dietikon
2 - 0
Linth 04
LIN
46%
27%
27%
127 80 -47 -1
28 Sep. 2019
LIN
Linth 04
3 - 0
Red Star Zürich
RSZ
45%
27%
28%
127 120 7 +1
20 Sep. 2019
TUG
Tuggen
2 - 0
Linth 04
LIN
49%
26%
25%
128 247 119 -1
17 Sep. 2019
FCB
FC Balzers
0 - 2
Linth 04
LIN
46%
27%
27%
127 90 -37 +1