Wingate & Finchley vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
HOR
4 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 2
CHE
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CTF
1 - 1
WIN
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
4 - 1
COR
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 2
HOR
22%
22%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AYL
2 - 4
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
ENF
1 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 3
WOR
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 0
MAR
22%
24%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |