Wingate & Finchley vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
KIN
3 - 2
WIN
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
4 - 1
WIN
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 4
FOL
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 2
BOW
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WIN
3 - 2
BOR
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 3
WOR
10%
16%
74%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 2
BRI
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BED
3 - 1
LEW
44%
23%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ENF
4 - 1
LEW
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
LEW
2 - 1
HAR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |