Windsor Arch Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
LAI
0 - 2
WAK
47%
21%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
WAK
1 - 3
SMA
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
CPK
2 - 3
WAK
48%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 10
WAK
41%
21%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
WAK
3 - 2
BEN
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MCA
3 - 0
CLU
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
MCA
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 5
MCA
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 1
CPO
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |