Willy Serrato vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 4
HUA
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 1
WIL
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
MAN
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 0
WIL
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
LOS
2 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 0
LOS
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
LOS
2 - 1
CIE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
7 - 1
LOS
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOS
1 - 1
LOS
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |