Willisau vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 5
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 2
TEA
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
WIL
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
ASC
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
SAR
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
TAV
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LUZ
2 - 2
SAR
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |