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Switzerland Fifth Division. Matchday 25

Willisau vs FC Paradiso analysis

Willisau FC Paradiso
4 ELO 8
65% Tilt 43%
20196º General ELO ranking 2039º
252º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
55.6%
Willisau
19.7%
Draw
24.7%
FC Paradiso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
Willisau
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.7%
Win probability
FC Paradiso
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willisau
+99%
+66%
FC Paradiso

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Paradiso
65
65
100%
Lugano II
61
61
100%
Taverne
41
41
100%
FC Sursee
38
38
100%
Willisau
35
35
25%
Novazzano
35
35
25%
Ibach
35
35
25%
Brunnen
35
35
25%
Perlen-Buchrain
33
33
10º
50%
Kickers Luzern
10º
33
33
50%
Sarnen
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Hergiswil
12º
31
31
12º
100%
FC Altdorf
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Eschenbach
14º
7
7
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Willisau
FC Paradiso
Champion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Willisau
WIL
FC Paradiso
FCP
Eschenbach
ESC
Sarnen
SAR
Chiasso
CHI
Dietikon
DIE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willisau
Willisau
1%
X%
2%
ELO WIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2019
WIL
Willisau
3 - 2
Hergiswil
HER
45%
27%
28%
52 87 -35 0
01 Jun. 2019
BRU
Brunnen
3 - 1
Willisau
WIL
45%
27%
28%
51 70 19 -1
24 May. 2019
WIL
Willisau
1 - 2
FC Altdorf
FCA
46%
27%
27%
51 66 -15 0
18 May. 2019
SAR
Sarnen
3 - 3
Willisau
WIL
46%
27%
27%
51 47 -4 0
12 May. 2019
WIL
Willisau
3 - 4
Novazzano
NOV
46%
27%
27%
51 65 -14 0

Matches

FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2019
FCP
FC Paradiso
5 - 0
Hergiswil
HER
47%
27%
26%
130 87 43 +1
26 May. 2019
LUG
Lugano II
3 - 1
FC Paradiso
FCP
45%
27%
28%
130 97 -33 -1
18 May. 2019
FCP
FC Paradiso
3 - 0
Ibach
IBA
46%
27%
27%
130 62 68 +1
11 May. 2019
TAV
Taverne
1 - 1
FC Paradiso
FCP
45%
27%
28%
130 47 -83 0
04 May. 2019
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 0
Perlen-Buchrain
PER
47%
27%
26%
129 73 56 +1