Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 3
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
WIL
35%
25%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 0
WOL
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 6
PSV
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
PSV
6 - 0
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |