Willem II vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
78.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 2
SPA
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 0
TEL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
PAT
80%
14%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
UDI
1 - 3
WIL
6%
13%
81%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
AND
2 - 3
LYO
20%
23%
58%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
LYO
3 - 0
DYN
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 4
LYO
5%
15%
80%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 2
LYO
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LYO
3 - 2
NAN
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |