Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ZWO
0 - 0
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
TWE
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 1
WIL
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ZWO
2 - 1
NEC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 3
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NEC
3 - 0
ADO
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |