Eerste Divisie . Jor. 1

Willem II vs Jong PSV analysis

Willem II Jong PSV
65 ELO 56
-5.9% Tilt 24.3%
499º General ELO ranking 2396º
11º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
53.7%
Willem II
24.3%
Draw
21.9%
Jong PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
Willem II
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22%
Win probability
Jong PSV
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
+7%
-18%
Jong PSV

Points and table prediction

Willem II
Their league position
Jong PSV
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
13º
45
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Heracles
85
85
0%
PEC Zwolle
85
85
0%
Almere City
70
70
100%
Willem II
68
68
100%
MVV Maastricht
59
59
100%
NAC Breda
59
59
100%
VVV Venlo
58
58
0%
FC Eindhoven
58
58
0%
SC Telstar
53
53
100%
De Graafschap
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Jong AZ
11º
51
51
11º
0%
ADO Den Haag
12º
51
51
12º
0%
Jong Ajax
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Jong PSV
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Roda JC
15º
43
43
15º
0%
Helmond Sport
16º
43
43
16º
0%
TOP Oss
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Dordrecht
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Willem II
Jong PSV
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Willem II
Jong PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
LOM
Lommel SK
1 - 3
Willem II
WIL
44%
23%
33%
65 67 2 0
23 Jul. 2022
WIL
Willem II
5 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
6%
15%
79%
65 87 22 0
20 Jul. 2022
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
37%
26%
37%
65 69 4 0
15 Jul. 2022
WIL
Willem II
1 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
37%
25%
38%
65 66 1 0
09 Jul. 2022
WIL
Willem II
2 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
69%
19%
12%
65 51 14 0

Matches

Jong PSV
Jong PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 2
Al-Jazira
AJA
18%
20%
63%
56 70 14 0
09 Jul. 2022
EIN
FC Eindhoven
1 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
58%
21%
21%
56 63 7 0
02 Jul. 2022
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 2
Jong Sparta
SPA
70%
18%
12%
56 45 11 0
06 May. 2022
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 1
Dordrecht
FCD
59%
22%
20%
56 49 7 0
29 Apr. 2022
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 1
Jong PSV
PSV
56%
24%
20%
56 67 11 0
X