Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZWO
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
DOV
0 - 3
WIL
6%
15%
78%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 1
UTR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 5
FEY
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
SCH
37%
24%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |