Willem II vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
4 - 1
KSK
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
EXC
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 5
WIL
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 0
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
FEY
2 - 1
ATM
17%
25%
57%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 3
FEY
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FEY
1 - 1
ADO
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 2
FCD
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |