Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
WIL
35%
25%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZWO
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 3
EXC
12%
18%
69%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
UTR
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |