Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
30%
23%
48%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
TWE
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PSV
4 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
DED
1 - 4
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FEY
1 - 4
AJA
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 4
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |