Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
68.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
WIL
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 3
SCH
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 3
UTR
18%
26%
56%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
7 - 1
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
AJA
5 - 1
RKC
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
0 - 0
AJA
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
AND
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |