Eredivisie Round 27

Willem II vs Ajax analysis

Willem II Ajax
55 ELO 89
27.7% Tilt 2.5%
396º General ELO ranking 103º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.6%
Willem II
18.2%
Draw
68.2%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
Willem II
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
68.2%
Win probability
Ajax
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
-25%
+3%
Ajax

ELO progression

Willem II
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2011
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
78%
15%
7%
55 72 17 0
26 Feb. 2011
WIL
Willem II
4 - 3
Heerenveen
SCH
16%
21%
63%
54 77 23 +1
19 Feb. 2011
EXC
Excelsior
4 - 0
Willem II
WIL
73%
17%
10%
55 64 9 -1
12 Feb. 2011
WIL
Willem II
3 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
18%
26%
56%
54 80 26 +1
06 Feb. 2011
GRO
Groningen
7 - 1
Willem II
WIL
78%
16%
6%
55 79 24 -1

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2011
AJA
Ajax
0 - 1
Spartak Moskva
SPA
61%
21%
18%
89 86 3 0
06 Mar. 2011
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
64%
20%
16%
88 85 3 +1
03 Mar. 2011
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
73%
17%
11%
88 70 18 0
27 Feb. 2011
PSV
PSV
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
44%
23%
33%
88 88 0 0
24 Feb. 2011
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Anderlecht
AND
56%
23%
21%
88 87 1 0