Eredivisie Round 32

Willem II vs Ajax analysis

Willem II Ajax
61 ELO 89
16.4% Tilt -6.6%
396º General ELO ranking 103º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.6%
Willem II
17.6%
Draw
69.8%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
Willem II
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.8%
Win probability
Ajax
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
-25%
+3%
Ajax

ELO progression

Willem II
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2010
GRO
Groningen
4 - 0
Willem II
WIL
70%
21%
10%
62 78 16 0
04 Apr. 2010
WIL
Willem II
0 - 1
PSV
PSV
21%
24%
55%
62 88 26 0
27 Mar. 2010
VIT
Vitesse
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
64%
21%
15%
63 68 5 -1
20 Mar. 2010
WIL
Willem II
0 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
38%
27%
35%
63 75 12 0
14 Mar. 2010
WIL
Willem II
3 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
43%
24%
33%
63 66 3 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2010
AJA
Ajax
7 - 0
VVV Venlo
VVV
81%
13%
6%
88 71 17 0
04 Apr. 2010
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
11%
17%
72%
88 63 25 0
28 Mar. 2010
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Groningen
GRO
74%
16%
10%
88 79 9 0
25 Mar. 2010
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 6
Ajax
AJA
15%
20%
65%
89 70 19 -1
21 Mar. 2010
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
1 - 5
Ajax
AJA
12%
18%
70%
88 66 22 +1