Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GRO
4 - 0
WIL
70%
21%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 3
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
WIL
3 - 1
SPA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
7 - 0
VVV
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GAE
0 - 6
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
RKC
1 - 5
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |