Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 1
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 3
SCH
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 2
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 0
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
32%
24%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
AJA
5 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |