Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 4
UTR
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 2
VVV
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |