Non League Div One Southern South. Jor. 3

Willand Rovers vs Lymington Town analysis

Willand Rovers Lymington Town
20 ELO 14
-10.4% Tilt -3.3%
9656º General ELO ranking 14780º
566º Country ELO ranking 849º
ELO win probability
69.5%
Willand Rovers
17.2%
Draw
13.4%
Lymington Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
Willand Rovers
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.4%
Win probability
Lymington Town
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willand Rovers
-21%
+5%
Lymington Town

Points and table prediction

Willand Rovers
Their league position
Lymington Town
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
18º
15º
43
16º
20º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Totton
88
88
100%
Sholing
81
81
100%
Hamworthy United
74
74
100%
Evesham United
60
60
0%
Wimborne Town
60
60
0%
Tavistock
58
58
100%
Bashley
55
55
100%
Frome Town
54
54
100%
Bishop's Cleeve
52
52
100%
Westbury United
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Larkhall Athletic
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Melksham Town
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Paulton Rovers
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Exmouth Town
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Willand Rovers
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Lymington Town
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Bideford
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Bristol Manor Farm
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Cinderford Town
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Slimbridge
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Willand Rovers
Lymington Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Willand Rovers
Lymington Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willand Rovers
Willand Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
2 - 1
Ilfracombe Town
ILF
54%
22%
24%
20 15 5 0
16 Aug. 2022
FRO
Frome Town
3 - 3
Willand Rovers
WIL
77%
15%
8%
19 36 17 +1
13 Aug. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
0 - 0
Westbury United
WUN
50%
22%
28%
19 18 1 0
06 Aug. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
2 - 1
Wellington AFC
WEL
75%
16%
9%
19 7 12 0
26 Jul. 2022
WIL
Willand Rovers
5 - 1
Truro City
WHI
11%
18%
71%
18 38 20 +1

Matches

Lymington Town
Lymington Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
LYM
Lymington Town
0 - 6
Basingstoke Town
BAS
16%
17%
67%
15 25 10 0
16 Aug. 2022
BAS
Bashley
1 - 0
Lymington Town
LYM
88%
8%
4%
15 32 17 0
13 Aug. 2022
PAU
Paulton Rovers
4 - 1
Lymington Town
LYM
76%
14%
10%
16 23 7 -1
06 Aug. 2022
LYM
Lymington Town
2 - 0
Portland United
POR
39%
22%
40%
15 16 1 +1
30 Jul. 2022
WES
Westfield (Surrey)
2 - 1
Lymington Town
LYM
53%
22%
25%
15 21 6 0
X