Willand Rovers vs Exmouth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+107%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
18º
15º
46
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
42 | 42 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
34 | 34 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
27 | 27 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willand Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 0
LYM
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
ILF
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FRO
3 - 3
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
WUN
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
WEL
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Exmouth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EXM
2 - 0
PAU
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
EXM
1 - 0
WIM
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 3
EXM
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
EXM
19%
19%
63%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
TIV
5 - 1
EXM
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |