FA Cup Previa 3

Willand Rovers vs Brixham AFC analysis

Willand Rovers Brixham AFC
25 ELO 20
-14.8% Tilt -8.1%
10121º General ELO ranking 46659º
438º Country ELO ranking 1280º
ELO win probability
47%
Willand Rovers
22.7%
Draw
30.3%
Brixham AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Willand Rovers
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.3%
Win probability
Brixham AFC
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO progression

Willand Rovers
Brixham AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willand Rovers
Willand Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2024
WIL
Willand Rovers
1 - 0
Mousehole AFC
MAF
21%
20%
59%
24 33 9 0
17 Aug. 2024
MAF
Mousehole AFC
2 - 2
Willand Rovers
WIL
63%
18%
18%
23 33 10 +1
19 Jul. 2024
WIL
Willand Rovers
2 - 3
Taunton Town
TAU
19%
23%
59%
24 36 12 -1
12 Jul. 2024
WIL
Willand Rovers
1 - 4
Truro City
WHI
10%
17%
73%
24 43 19 0
27 Apr. 2024
WIL
Willand Rovers
1 - 1
Malvern Town
MAL
29%
22%
49%
24 28 4 0

Matches

Brixham AFC
Brixham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2024
EXM
Exmouth Town
0 - 2
Brixham AFC
BFC
53%
22%
25%
20 26 6 0
27 Apr. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
3 - 1
Wellington
WEL
56%
20%
25%
19 17 2 +1
20 Apr. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
1 - 1
Barnstaple Town
BAR
25%
20%
55%
19 26 7 0
09 Apr. 2024
BUC
Buckland Athletic
0 - 0
Brixham AFC
BFC
62%
19%
20%
20 22 2 -1
06 Apr. 2024
NAT
Nailsea and Tickenham
2 - 1
Brixham AFC
BFC
31%
22%
47%
20 16 4 0