Non League Div One Southern South Jor. 27

Willand Rovers vs Bideford analysis

Willand Rovers Bideford
23 ELO 24
-14% Tilt -9.8%
10229º General ELO ranking 9102º
575º Country ELO ranking 480º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Willand Rovers
24.7%
Draw
39%
Bideford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
Willand Rovers
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39%
Win probability
Bideford
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willand Rovers
-14%
-43%
Bideford

Points and table prediction

Willand Rovers
Their league position
Bideford
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
16º
15º
46
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wimborne Town
79
82
86%
Frome Town
75
79
83.5%
Cribbs
66
69
69%
Bristol Manor Farm
59
62
32.5%
Hamworthy United
20º
0
62
7.5%
Mousehole AFC
58
61
40.5%
Larkhall Athletic
58
61
25%
Evesham United
51
54
48%
Yate Town
50
53
37%
Bishop's Cleeve
48
51
10º
30.5%
Malvern Town
10º
47
50
11º
32.5%
Tavistock
11º
46
49
12º
44.5%
Bideford
12º
46
47
13º
47%
Bemerton Heath
13º
43
44
14º
49%
Willand Rovers
14º
42
43
15º
24%
Bashley
15º
42
43
16º
27%
Melksham Town
16º
40
41
17º
68%
Westbury United
17º
34
35
18º
72%
Exmouth Town
18º
33
34
19º
72%
Paulton Rovers
19º
26
27
20º
99.5%
Expected probabilities
Willand Rovers
Bideford
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Willand Rovers
Bideford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willand Rovers
Willand Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
YAT
Yate Town
3 - 0
Willand Rovers
WIL
64%
19%
17%
23 28 5 0
01 Apr. 2024
WIL
Willand Rovers
1 - 2
Bristol Manor Farm
BRI
26%
23%
51%
24 30 6 -1
30 Mar. 2024
EXM
Exmouth Town
3 - 1
Willand Rovers
WIL
39%
23%
38%
25 22 3 -1
23 Mar. 2024
WIL
Willand Rovers
0 - 2
Bashley
BAS
47%
23%
30%
26 24 2 -1
16 Mar. 2024
BIS
Bishop's Cleeve
0 - 0
Willand Rovers
WIL
54%
21%
26%
26 24 2 0

Matches

Bideford
Bideford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
BIS
Bishop's Cleeve
0 - 1
Bideford
BID
70%
16%
14%
24 28 4 0
01 Apr. 2024
BID
Bideford
2 - 3
Tavistock
TAV
35%
24%
41%
24 25 1 0
30 Mar. 2024
FRO
Frome Town
4 - 0
Bideford
BID
71%
18%
12%
25 37 12 -1
26 Mar. 2024
MAF
Mousehole AFC
5 - 0
Bideford
BID
54%
21%
25%
27 28 1 -2
23 Mar. 2024
BID
Bideford
0 - 0
Paulton Rovers
PAU
67%
19%
14%
27 17 10 0
X