FC Wil vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 4
STG
11%
18%
71%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
STA
1 - 0
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
WIN
3 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 3
CHI
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
YOB
3 - 2
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 5
BAS
19%
21%
61%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 1
THU
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
KRI
1 - 3
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 3
STA
52%
23%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |