Europa League 1/16
Global 1-3
Widzew Łódź vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
51%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
WLO
4 - 2
WIS
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
POG
2 - 0
WLO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
WLO
0 - 0
GKS
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
ELF
2 - 2
WLO
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
RCH
0 - 0
WLO
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
RMA
1 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEX
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SSO
3 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |