Widzew Łódź vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
14º
13º
75
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
WLO
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
WLO
2 - 0
CRA
28%
28%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 0
WLO
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
KAL
5 - 5
WLO
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WLO
2 - 1
PLO
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
RAK
6 - 0
GÓR
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAK
3 - 0
RAD
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RAK
4 - 0
WAR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CRA
3 - 0
RAK
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 0
POG
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |