FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 5-4
Widnes vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
WID
3 - 1
DRO
42%
21%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
RAM
3 - 2
WID
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
BUX
3 - 0
WID
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
ASH
5 - 4
WID
11%
16%
74%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
WID
1 - 5
WAR
10%
16%
74%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MOS
2 - 1
RUN
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
OUF
0 - 0
MOS
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
MOS
0 - 2
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 1
MOS
12%
16%
72%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 3
GLO
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |