Widnes vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
54.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
WID
0 - 1
TRA
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CLI
2 - 3
WID
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WID
2 - 2
COL
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
WID
53%
20%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
WID
0 - 1
RUN
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MOS
0 - 2
ATH
30%
23%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RAD
3 - 4
MOS
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MOS
5 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
KEN
0 - 1
MOS
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 0
DRO
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |