Non League Div One Northern West Jor. 30

Widnes vs Avro analysis

Widnes Avro
36 ELO 39
-13.2% Tilt -14%
7326º General ELO ranking 5697º
344º Country ELO ranking 249º
ELO win probability
28.3%
Widnes
27.4%
Draw
44.3%
Avro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
Widnes
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.3%
Win probability
Avro
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Widnes
+7%
-14%
Avro

Points and table prediction

Widnes
Their league position
Avro
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
18º
58
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leek Town
78
78
100%
Runcorn Linnets
68
68
64.5%
Prescot Cables
67
67
39%
Bootle FC
66
67
39%
Witton Albion
63
63
100%
City of Liverpool
60
61
100%
Clitheroe
58
58
0%
Avro
58
58
0%
Widnes
11º
54
57
0%
Nantwich Town
57
57
10º
0%
Chasetown
10º
56
56
11º
58%
Stalybridge Celtic
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Hanley Town
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Newcastle Town
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Mossley
15º
45
45
15º
0%
Vauxhall Motors
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Kidsgrove Athletic
17º
39
39
17º
42%
Trafford
18º
39
39
18º
42%
Hednesford Town
19º
32
32
19º
100%
1874 Northwich
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Widnes
Avro
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Widnes
Avro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Widnes
Widnes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
CHA
Chasetown
1 - 1
Widnes
WID
41%
25%
35%
35 32 3 0
17 Feb. 2024
WID
Widnes
1 - 3
Witton Albion
WIT
36%
27%
37%
36 38 2 -1
10 Feb. 2024
WID
Widnes
1 - 1
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
47%
24%
29%
36 36 0 0
03 Feb. 2024
NEW
Newcastle Town
1 - 3
Widnes
WID
38%
25%
38%
36 32 4 0
27 Jan. 2024
WID
Widnes
5 - 0
1874 Northwich
187
71%
18%
11%
36 22 14 0

Matches

Avro
Avro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
AFC
Avro
1 - 3
Bootle FC
BOO
50%
26%
25%
43 37 6 0
17 Feb. 2024
KID
Kidsgrove Athletic
0 - 0
Avro
AFC
19%
25%
56%
44 30 14 -1
03 Feb. 2024
AFC
Avro
1 - 2
Clitheroe
CLI
51%
25%
24%
44 38 6 0
27 Jan. 2024
HAN
Hanley Town
0 - 1
Avro
AFC
23%
26%
50%
44 35 9 0
20 Jan. 2024
AFC
Avro
0 - 3
Newcastle Town
NEW
67%
21%
12%
45 31 14 -1
X