Widnau vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
40
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 2
WID
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WID
2 - 2
FCW
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 3
WID
51%
20%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
WID
3 - 4
FCT
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WID
1 - 1
DSG
54%
20%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAZ
2 - 3
LAC
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAZ
2 - 0
UST
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCR
2 - 5
BAZ
46%
22%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAZ
5 - 1
FCW
50%
20%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 0
BAZ
45%
22%
34%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |