Whitby Town vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Whitby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
WHI
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
SKE
0 - 1
WHI
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WHI
3 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
WOR
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BUX
3 - 0
WHI
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
RFC
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 0
ASH
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 2
WOR
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
WOR
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 3
MAT
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |