National League South . Jor. 7

Weymouth vs Hemel Hempstead Town analysis

Weymouth Hemel Hempstead Town
27 ELO 32
1.2% Tilt 4.1%
4631º General ELO ranking 5154º
197º Country ELO ranking 234º
ELO win probability
37.3%
Weymouth
23.2%
Draw
39.4%
Hemel Hempstead Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
Weymouth
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.4%
Win probability
Hemel Hempstead Town
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Weymouth
+21%
-20%
Hemel Hempstead Town

Points and table prediction

Weymouth
Their league position
Hemel Hempstead Town
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
20º
24º
20º
61
23º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Weymouth
Hemel Hempstead Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
55.5% 100%
Relegation
44.5% 0%

ELO progression

Weymouth
Hemel Hempstead Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Weymouth
Weymouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
HUN
Hungerford Town
1 - 1
Weymouth
WEY
64%
19%
17%
27 36 9 0
27 Aug. 2022
WEY
Weymouth
0 - 2
Oxford City
OXF
12%
20%
68%
28 48 20 -1
20 Aug. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
3 - 1
Weymouth
WEY
62%
20%
18%
29 38 9 -1
16 Aug. 2022
WEY
Weymouth
0 - 3
Worthing
WOR
9%
16%
75%
30 50 20 -1
13 Aug. 2022
WEY
Weymouth
2 - 3
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
10%
18%
73%
30 50 20 0

Matches

Hemel Hempstead Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 - 2
Dartford
DAR
15%
21%
64%
33 48 15 0
27 Aug. 2022
DOV
Dover Athletic
4 - 0
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
25%
23%
52%
36 26 10 -3
20 Aug. 2022
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
2 - 3
Welling United
WEL
51%
22%
27%
36 36 0 0
16 Aug. 2022
BRA
Braintree Town
3 - 1
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
48%
25%
27%
38 40 2 -2
13 Aug. 2022
HAM
Hampton & Richmond
1 - 1
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
48%
25%
27%
37 39 2 +1
X