Wexford Youths vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
10º
5º
34
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 74 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 52 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 50 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
8º
|
58% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
9º
|
62% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 24 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
61.5% | 86% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
COB
2 - 4
WEX
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
3 - 2
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 1
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 1
WEX
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 10 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
CAO
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
KEF
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
COB
1 - 2
UCD
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |