Weston-super-Mare vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
KIN
0 - 1
WES
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WES
1 - 1
YEO
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SLI
0 - 4
WES
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
FRO
1 - 2
WES
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
WES
2 - 1
EXE
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
MER
0 - 3
POO
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |