Weston Bears vs Lake Macquarie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weston Bears
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
WBE
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WBE
1 - 1
LAM
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BRO
4 - 2
WBE
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 2
WBE
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
WBE
3 - 2
BRO
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LAM
3 - 0
LAK
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LAK
2 - 3
BRO
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HAM
6 - 2
LAK
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LAK
0 - 1
VAL
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
WBE
3 - 1
LAK
79%
13%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |