National Premier Norte NSW. Jor. 12

Weston Bears vs Broadmeadow Magic analysis

Weston Bears Broadmeadow Magic
27 ELO 32
3.3% Tilt -1.8%
8286º General ELO ranking 6844º
62º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
34%
Weston Bears
22.4%
Draw
43.6%
Broadmeadow Magic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
Weston Bears
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.6%
Win probability
Broadmeadow Magic
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Weston Bears
-15%
+8%
Broadmeadow Magic

Points and table prediction

Weston Bears
Their league position
Broadmeadow Magic
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
11º
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lambton Jaffas FC
43
46
62%
Charlestown City Blues
41
44
29%
Maitland
40
43
50%
Broadmeadow Magic
39
42
41%
Weston Bears
39
40
74.5%
Edgeworth Eagles
35
36
90.5%
Newcastle Olympic
33
33
90.5%
Cooks Hill
29
30
100%
Valentine Phoenix
22
25
100%
Adamstown Rosebuds
10º
16
16
10º
100%
New Lambton Eagles
11º
9
9
11º
96.5%
Lake Macquarie
12º
4
7
12º
96.5%
Expected probabilities
Weston Bears
Broadmeadow Magic
Final Series
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Weston Bears
Broadmeadow Magic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Weston Bears
Weston Bears
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
WBE
Weston Bears
3 - 1
Cooks Hill
CHU
73%
15%
12%
27 19 8 0
07 May. 2023
WBE
Weston Bears
5 - 3
New Lambton Eagles
NLE
92%
6%
2%
27 7 20 0
03 May. 2023
VAL
Valentine Phoenix
1 - 0
Weston Bears
WBE
28%
23%
50%
28 21 7 -1
30 Apr. 2023
LAK
Lake Macquarie
0 - 4
Weston Bears
WBE
6%
14%
80%
27 7 20 +1
25 Apr. 2023
ADR
Adamstown Rosebuds
2 - 2
Weston Bears
WBE
8%
16%
76%
27 10 17 0

Matches

Broadmeadow Magic
Broadmeadow Magic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
VAL
Valentine Phoenix
2 - 5
Broadmeadow Magic
BRO
24%
22%
55%
31 23 8 0
07 May. 2023
BRO
Broadmeadow Magic
1 - 3
Charlestown City Blues
CHA
52%
22%
27%
32 31 1 -1
29 Apr. 2023
ADR
Adamstown Rosebuds
0 - 5
Broadmeadow Magic
BRO
8%
14%
78%
32 11 21 0
23 Apr. 2023
BRO
Broadmeadow Magic
1 - 1
Lake Macquarie
LAK
91%
7%
2%
32 6 26 0
10 Apr. 2023
MAI
Maitland
2 - 2
Broadmeadow Magic
BRO
57%
21%
23%
32 36 4 0
X