Westfalia Rhynern vs ASC 09 Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
9º
18º
11º
61
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 76 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 66 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 59 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 58 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 53 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 32 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
78.5% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Westfalia Rhynern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SVR
2 - 0
WER
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WER
1 - 1
SFB
53%
20%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GIE
0 - 0
WER
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WER
3 - 1
TDO
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ERH
4 - 4
WER
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ASC 09 Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 0
ENN
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 5
ASC
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 2
SPO
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 2
ASC
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 0
SPR
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |