Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
4º
4º
26
3º
11º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 4
WES
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WES
0 - 1
SYD
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WES
1 - 0
WUF
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
WES
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NEW
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WPH
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
6 - 1
MFC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
WUF
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 0
MFC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |