Western Suburbs vs Melville United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
WSU
7 - 0
WAF
90%
8%
3%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
PET
1 - 3
WSU
6%
11%
83%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
WSU
2 - 0
WKA
67%
18%
16%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NWA
2 - 3
WSU
17%
18%
66%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
WSU
2 - 2
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Melville United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WES
6 - 2
MEL
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WCR
2 - 0
MEL
8%
14%
79%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | -3 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
BAO
47%
21%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
HAW
2 - 2
MEL
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
NAF
0 - 1
MEL
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |